Disparix — Social Arbitrage Terminal
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Not investment advice. Disparix is an educational and informational data tool. It is not a registered investment advisor, broker or financial manager, provides no personalised advice, and makes no guarantee of returns or profitability. All signals — including STRONG BUY and ACCUMULATE — are computed mathematical outputs, not recommendations. Past and simulated performance does not predict future results. Trading securities carries significant risk, including total loss of capital.

Methodology

How Disparix works

Disparix measures one thing: the distance between what consumers already know about a product and what the market has priced in.

Why that distance exists

Analyst coverage follows market capitalisation, trading volume and banking relationships — not comment sections. Coverage follows size, size follows revenue, and revenue is reported quarterly about a period that ended weeks earlier. The institutional view of consumer demand is backward-looking by construction. A consumer's view is live.

What we measure

Buy intent, not attention. Views and likes measure attention. We collect real consumer comments and score them for purchase signals — purchase confirmations, repeat use, recommendations, stockout reports.

Products mapped to public companies. People type product names, not tickers. Every monitored brand is mapped to its publicly traded parent. Where the parent is private, the signal is real but untradeable, so it is excluded.

The gap. For each brand we compute how far consumer awareness runs ahead of institutional coverage, expressed as a signal ladder: Strong Buy → Accumulate → Prepare Exit → Parity Reached. These are computed mathematical outputs, not recommendations.

The rules

Sample floor. No brand produces any signal until it has at least 8 independent buy-intent comments in the trailing 90 days. Below that the brand reads as no signal — not a weak one, not a preview. This means the screen is often quiet. A tool that never says "not enough data" isn't measuring anything.

No backtest presented as track record. The Backtest Engine is illustrative and simulated, and labelled as such. Real signal outcomes — actual prices at 7, 30 and 90 days after a signal fires — are being recorded now and will be published when the sample is large enough to mean something, including if unflattering.

Stated limits. The sample floor guarantees we miss the earliest moment of every trend. Clearing the floor means a measurement is worth looking at, not that the conclusion is correct — plenty of products get popular without moving the parent company's stock. Signals describe information asymmetry, not certainty.

What Disparix is not

Disparix is not a registered investment advisor. Nothing on this platform is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Signals are computed mathematical outputs for your own research. All investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.

We write about the method in more depth each week in The Gap — our free newsletter.

Not investment advice. Disparix is an educational and informational data tool. It is not a registered investment advisor, broker or financial manager, provides no personalised advice, and makes no guarantee of returns or profitability. All signals — including STRONG BUY and ACCUMULATE — are computed mathematical outputs, not recommendations. Past and simulated performance does not predict future results. Trading securities carries significant risk, including total loss of capital.